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The idea of the American media conglomerate acquiring ITV has sparked concerns about the effect on British public service broadcasting, a fact that the broadcaster's new top boss, who previously held a high-ranking position at Sky, will be all too well aware of.

Sky’s advertising chief, Priya Dogra, will now be expected to lead the charge to oppose her ex-company's acquisition bid to protect Channel 4.

The proposed merger of Sky and ITV’s broadcasting operation would leave Channel 4 a much smaller player in the realm of TV and digital ad sales, reigniting debate of the need to reconsider some form of partnership with the BBC for future viability.

Primary Concern: The Future of News

However, it is the potential ramifications on the future of news provision that are causing the most urgent concern for many within the television industry.

The unexpected announcement last month that Comcast, which controls assets including Universal Studios and purchased Rupert Murdoch’s Sky for £30bn in 2018, is a logical business move. Traditional broadcasters are facing a deep-seated viability crisis as audiences and revenues continue to swiftly shift to global digital players such as Meta, Google, Amazon, and Netflix.

“Comcast’s move for ITV is causing nervousness among media watchers, with specific worry for news provision.”

However, the potential £1.6bn takeover of ITV’s television business and streaming service, which would end 70 years of autonomy, is full of regulatory, political, and competition problems.

At a stroke, Comcast would control Sky News and ITV News—including its far-reaching regional news operation—and become the largest shareholder in ITN, which produces news for ITV, Channel 4, and Channel 5.

While Comcast’s 40% stake in ITN would not be a majority holding—other shareholders include the owner of the Daily Mail, Thomson Reuters, and Informa—it would still be heavily involved in the news output of most of the main non-BBC broadcasters.

“If a deal goes through, the fate of ITN is an critical one that will concentrate attention politically,” comments one senior TV executive. “Effectively, they will be involved in the news output of all the biggest non-BBC channels.”

Funding Guarantees and Regulatory Scrutiny

Comcast pledged to keep funding Sky News for a decade, upping its funding annually in line with inflation, as part of its 2018 takeover of Sky. As that commitment draws closer to expiring, concerns have been raised about whether the US company will continue to wholly support Sky News, which has an annual budget of £100m but is thought to make losses of as much as £80m.

It is believed that any deal to buy ITV would include pledges not to seek permission from media regulator Ofcom to vary the conditions of its public service broadcast licence, which includes commitments to national and regional news.

“There are definitely questions about plurality,” says Stewart Puvis, a former ITN chief executive. “Theoretically, Comcast could, say, merge Sky and ITV News and use its position as a 40% shareholder in ITN to assert control... I would hope Comcast understand ways of solving these problems.”

An Endangered Model

British TV executives have previously cautioned about the risk posed to the UK’s system of public service broadcasters (PSBs) by large parts of the industry being acquired by US corporations.

Recently, Ofcom published a report warning that public service television, such as news provision and UK-focused content, risks becoming an “at-risk model” as viewers migrate to US online platforms and streamers.

The watchdog also revealed data showing that YouTube had surpassed ITV to become the UK’s second most-watched media service, behind only the BBC, with it and Netflix now the two most popular first TV destinations among young people.

A Call for Collaboration

There are those who believe that a Sky takeover of ITV, against the backdrop of the viewer shift to mostly US digital companies, heralds the need for closer cooperation between the UK’s biggest broadcasters.

“The UK wants and needs its own part of mass media which isn’t US controlled,” says a second broadcasting executive. “It’s a vital strategic need. I think the government needs to work out how the boards of the PSBs have a new part to their remits that obligates them to collaborate.”

Given that advertisers follow eyeballs, a combination of Sky and ITV could create a British TV and streaming powerhouse, with the two companies’ sales houses controlling a dominant share of total ad spend on traditional TV and broadcasters’ streaming services.

Regulatory Hurdles

Any deal will prompt an investigation by the UK competition watchdog. Sky is hoping the regulator will broaden the definition of the ad market to include the impact of giants like YouTube and Facebook.

“I think it will get passed,” says Alex DeGroote, a media analyst. “Comcast will do everything it can to say it will maintain the PSB status quo... But you don’t buy to ultimately keep everything the same. ITV plus Sky would give them a hugely dominant position in the TV ad market.”

Structural Challenges of Channel 4 and the BBC

Channel 4, which relies on advertising for the vast majority of its income, now faces a eroded BBC as a potential partner and a formidable commercial threat from a combined Sky-ITV.

“We may at some point end up in that situation because of the deep cumulative cuts to the BBC’s funding and because Channel 4, too, has a inherent financial issue,” says Patrick Barwise, an emeritus professor at London Business School. “Channel 4 has repeatedly beaten the predictions, but that is just postponing the problem. It’s now beginning to face a crunch point.”

The ongoing saga emphasises a larger dilemma for British media: how to maintain a independent voice and a robust public service ecosystem in an ever more globalised and digitally dominated landscape.